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S&P 500
72
Nasdaq 100
63
Brent Crude
79
Rates Curve
28

Financial Dashboard

S&P 500

4,308.47
Top Correlations
  • Brent Crude โ†” S&P 500: 0.79
    โ€œOil supply fears lifted equities amid Middle East tensions.โ€
  • 10Y Yield โ†” Nasdaq 100: โˆ’0.42
    โ€œRising rates weighed on tech sentiment.โ€
  • Gold โ†” S&P 500: 0.18
    โ€œSafe-haven demand subtly tracking market dips.โ€
CPI / PPI
31 %
+ 0.3 %
PMI
54.2
Expansion
Employment
+ 210 K
3.8 %
Historical Signal Accuracy
3-Day Outcome
7-Day Outcome
30-Day Outcome
Correlation Heatmap
S&PNasdaqOilGoldSilver
Jan 2023 โˆ’0.46โˆ’0.38 0.68 0.180.44
Mar 2024 0.53โˆ’0.33 0.460.34 0.48
๐Ÿ“Š Correlation Heatmap
Legend: โ‰ค low neutral โ‰ฅ high
Asset โ–ผ SPX โœŽ ๐Ÿ—‘๏ธ NDX โœŽ ๐Ÿ—‘๏ธ DJIA โœŽ ๐Ÿ—‘๏ธ RUT โœŽ ๐Ÿ—‘๏ธ
Brent Crude โœŽ ๐Ÿ—‘๏ธ 0.68 0.72 0.60 0.55
Gold โœŽ ๐Ÿ—‘๏ธ 0.18 0.22 0.15 0.12
Natural Gas โœŽ ๐Ÿ—‘๏ธ โˆ’0.12 โˆ’0.08 โˆ’0.20 โˆ’0.25
10Y Yield โœŽ ๐Ÿ—‘๏ธ โˆ’0.42 โˆ’0.38 โˆ’0.45 โˆ’0.40
CPI MoM โœŽ ๐Ÿ—‘๏ธ 0.32 0.28 0.35 0.30

Geoโ€ขSignals & Event Correlations

๐Ÿ”” Top Geo-Driven Signals
  • Russia/NATO Tensions
    Equities โ†˜๏ธŽ (ร—3)โ€‚โ€ขโ€‚Oil โ†—๏ธŽ (ร—5)โ€‚โ€ขโ€‚Rates โ†—๏ธŽ (ร—2)
    1
  • Middle East Instability
    Commodities โ†—๏ธŽ (ร—4)โ€‚โ€ขโ€‚Equities โ†˜๏ธŽ (ร—2)
    2
  • US Fed Pause Signal
    Macro Rates โ†˜๏ธŽ (ร—3)โ€‚โ€ขโ€‚Financials โ†—๏ธŽ (ร—2)
    3
  • OPEC Production Cut
    Oil โ†—๏ธŽ (ร—5)โ€‚โ€ขโ€‚Energy โ†—๏ธŽ (ร—3)
    4
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Upcoming Key Events
  • G20 SummitApr 19, 2024
  • Eurozone CPIApr 25, 2024
  • Fed DecisionMay 03, 2024
  • US Employment ReportMay 06, 2024
  • OPEC MeetingMay 10, 2024
๐Ÿ”Ž Filter by Event Type
๐Ÿ“Š Event โ†’ Asset Correlation
Event Equities Commodities Macro
Russia/NATO Spike โˆ’0.42 +0.68 +0.22
Middle East Instability โˆ’0.15 +0.75 0.05
Fed Pause Signal +0.32 +0.18 โˆ’0.40
OPEC Cut +0.10 +0.82 0.00

Multi-Asset Signal Dashboard

EQUITIES
TRENDICTION
  • S&P 500 (SPX)
    4,308.47 +0.85%
    Updated 2h ago
    BULLISH
    Conviction ร—4
  • Nasdaq 100 (NDX)
    13,725.32 +1.12%
    Updated 1h ago
    BULLISH
    Conviction ร—5
  • Dow Jones (DJIA)
    33,845.62 โˆ’0.48%
    Updated 4h ago
    BEARISH
    Conviction ร—3
  • Energy (XLE)
    78.21 +0.65%
    Updated 5h ago
    NEUTRAL
    Conviction ร—2
  • Financials (XLF)
    36.45 +0.30%
    Updated 6h ago
    BULLISH
    Conviction ร—3
MACRO
CONVICTION
  • 10Y Treasury (US10Y)
    3.72% +0.04%
    Yield Curve
    BEARISH
    ร—3
  • CPI (MoM)
    0.3% +0.1%
    Latest Print
    BULLISH
    ร—4
  • Nonfarm Payrolls
    +210K +10K
    April 2024
    NEUTRAL
    ร—2
  • ISM PMI
    52.4 +0.6
    Manufacturing
    BEARISH
    ร—4
  • Unemployment Rate
    3.8% +0.1%
    Latest
    NEUTRAL
    ร—2
COMMODITIES
CONVICTION & PRICING
  • Brent Crude (BZ=F)
    75.62 +1.23%
    BULLISH
    ร—5
  • Gold (XAU/USD)
    1,990.80 โˆ’0.45%
    BEARISH
    ร—3
  • Natural Gas (NG=F)
    2.43 โˆ’1.10%
    BEARISH
    ร—2
  • Soybeans (ZS=F)
    1,395.50 +0.75%
    BULLISH
    ร—4
  • Copper (HG=F)
    4.25 0.00%
    NEUTRAL
    ร—3

EQUITIES

๐Ÿ“ˆ Equities (Live)
SymbolPriceTick ฮ”Since Open MAVol %HighLow Avg TradeVol (Total)Spark
Equities Agent Feed
  • Loading feedโ€ฆ

10-Q Generated Summary
    Loadingโ€ฆ
PRICE & SIGNAL CHART
NEWS FLOW
BACKTEST ANALYTICS
3-DAY
72%
7-DAY
78%
30-DAY
84%
CUMULATIVE RETURN
FUNDAMENTAL SIGNAL
Loadingโ€ฆ
Price (5m interval)
Aggregates recent 10-Q filing sentiment bullets;
for each item it shows:
  • Positive Score: % of positive text
  • Negative Score: % of negative text
  • Impact Scale: magnitude of sentiment change (0โ€“1)
  • Directional Valence: +1 for net positive, โ€“1 for net negative
  • Composite Score: overall weighted sentiment (0โ€“100)
e.g.
"Total revenues decreased from 21,301 to 19,335 (-9.2%), driven by a 21โ€ฆ"
pos 0.8, neg 97.6, impact 1, valence โ€“1, composite 20.8
NARRATIVE SIGNAL
Loadingโ€ฆ
Price (5m interval)
Calculates per-hour volume-weighted sentiment across Reddit, NewsAPI, Mastodon, and YouTube;
applies 1 h and 24 h EMAs and compares their latest values:
1 h EMA โ‰ฅ 24 h EMA โ†’ LONG, 1 h EMA < 24 h EMA โ†’ SHORT;
displays ฮ” (1 h EMA โˆ’ 24 h EMA) alongside the signal.

Formulas:
โ€ข Volume-weighted sentiment per hour:
  VWโ‚œ = ฮฃ(meanแตข ร— countแตข) / ฮฃ(countแตข)
โ€ข Exponential moving average (EMA) with half-life h:
  ฮฑ = 1 โ€“ 0.5^(1/h), EMAโ‚œ = ฮฑยทVWโ‚œ + (1โ€“ฮฑ)ยทEMAโ‚œโ‚‹โ‚

What is EMA?
EMA gives more weight to recent data, reacting faster to changes than a simple average while still smoothing out noise.

COMMODITIES

Commodities
Feed Last Price % Change Trend Conviction
Brent Crude (BZ=F) 75.62 โ–ฒ 1.23%
Gold (XAU/USD) 1,990.80 โ–ผ 0.45%
Natural Gas (NG=F) 2.43 โ–ผ 1.10%
Soybeans (ZS=F) 1,395.50 โ–ฒ 0.75%
Copper (HG=F) 4.25 0.00%
Commodities Agent Feed
  • Brent Crude
    Last 10-Q: May 1, 2024
    OPEC+ supply cuts support higher prices amid geopolitical tensions.
    Read more โ€บ
    Positive
  • Gold
    Last 10-Q: Apr 28, 2024
    Safe-haven demand spikes on global inflation concerns.
    Read more โ€บ
    Negative
  • Natural Gas
    Last 10-Q: Apr 25, 2024
    Warmer forecasts weigh on futures, easing upward pressure.
    Read more โ€บ
    Neutral

Brent Crude BZ=F

โ–ฒ BULLISH
AI-GENERATED SUMMARY

Signal strength on Brent Crude driven by rising Middle East tensions, as geopolitical risks prompt fears of supply disruptions in key shipping routes.

PRICE & SIGNAL CHART
FEB 28, 2024
SIGNAL TRIGGERS
Oil futures climb as Red Sea conflict escalates
EDGAR / Aug 2023

Aug. 3, 2023: Net 54.2% crude oil sales in forward-net crude. Production trends held steady amid rising demand.

Positive
BACKTEST ANALYTICS
3-DAY
61%
7-DAY
64%
30-DAY
72%
CUMULATIVE RETURN

MACRO

Macro
Indicator Value % ฮ” Trend Conviction
5Y Treasury Yield (US5Y) 3.20% โ–ฒ 0.03%
10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) 3.72% โ–ฒ 0.04%
15Y Treasury Yield (US15Y) 3.95% โ–ฒ 0.02%
20Y Treasury Yield (US20Y) 3.85% โ–ฒ 0.01%
30Y Treasury Yield (US30Y) 3.64% โ–ผ 0.01%
CPI MoM 0.30% โ–ฒ 0.10%
CPI YoY 3.40% โ–ผ 0.10%
Nonfarm Payrolls +210K โ–ฒ 10K
ISM PMI 52.4 โ–ฒ 0.6
Unemployment Rate 3.8% โ–ฒ 0.1%
Macro Agent Feed
  • Fed Decision
    May 1, 2024
    FOMC holds rate, signals pause amid cooling inflation.
    Read more โ€บ
    Neutral
  • CPI Release
    Apr 30, 2024
    CPI rises 0.3% MoM; core inflation steady at 0.3%.
    Read more โ€บ
    Positive
  • PMI Report
    Apr 28, 2024
    Manufacturing PMI at 52.4 signals continued expansion.
    Read more โ€บ
    Positive

10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y)

โ–ผ BEARISH
AI-GENERATED SUMMARY

The 10-year Treasury yield has fallen over the past week amid softer inflation readings and a dovish shift in Fed commentary, signaling reduced market stress.

YIELD & SIGNAL CHART
MAY 03, 2024
SIGNAL TRIGGERS
CPI print down 0.1% MoM; yields dip
FRED / May 2024

May 3, 2024: 10Y closed at 3.72%, down from 3.78% a week prior, after weaker PPI and softer jobs data.

Negative
BACKTEST ANALYTICS
3-DAY
55%
7-DAY
60%
30-DAY
65%
CUMULATIVE RETURN

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